Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Sillinger on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sillinger 46.7% vs Kastelic 53.4% (-8.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kastelic 72.3%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 92.4%
Neutral zone
Kastelic 89.0%
Result
Mark Kastelic favored at 86.0%
14.0%
86.0%
Sillinger
Kastelic
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Sillinger
Kastelic
Last 9: Sillinger 7-2 Kastelic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sillinger
2
0
Sillinger
Kastelic
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sillinger
2
0
Sillinger
Kastelic
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sillinger
3
2
Sillinger
Kastelic
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sillinger
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (535)
55.4% (345)
-8.9%
Power Play
46.7% (30)
50.0% (4)
-3.3%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (85)
35.3% (17)
+8.2%
On even strength, Kastelic has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Sillinger is 48.8% vs right-shot opponents (209).
Sillinger shoots left. Kastelic is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (299).
Home / Away
Sillinger
Kastelic
Home
48.7% (339)
50.6% (162)
Away
43.4% (311)
57.4% (204)
By Period
Sillinger
Kastelic
P1
46.3%
61.5%
P2
47.9%
52.8%
P3
44.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.7%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sillinger
44.0%▲
40.5%
46.2%
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2024 | 3 | 16:08 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Cole Sillinger |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 2 | 00:15 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Cole Sillinger |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 1 | 16:24 | Defensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 1 | 10:55 | Defensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Cole Sillinger |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 2 | 19:14 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 1 | 11:29 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |