Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Sillinger wins 44.2% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sillinger 46.9% vs Monahan 52.8% (-6.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sillinger 62.6%
Defensive zone
Sillinger 65.5%
Neutral zone
Sillinger 64.0%
Result
Cole Sillinger favored at 64.3%
64.3%
35.7%
Sillinger
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Sillinger
Monahan
Last 6: Sillinger 2-4 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Sillinger
Monahan
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
2
3
Sillinger
Monahan
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sillinger
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (694)
51.5% (641)
-4.8%
Power Play
53.8% (52)
62.8% (129)
-9.0%
Penalty Kill
30.3% (33)
33.3% (9)
-3.0%
On power play, Monahan has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Sillinger is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (482).
Sillinger shoots left. Monahan is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (491).
Home / Away
Sillinger
Monahan
Home
47.9% (374)
53.9% (362)
Away
45.2% (405)
52.5% (417)
By Period
Sillinger
Monahan
P1
48.5%
48.0%
P2
47.8%
57.0%
P3
42.8%
54.1%
Final 5 min
51.4%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sillinger
44.0%▲
40.5%
46.5%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2022 | 3 | 11:04 | Neutral | Cole Sillinger |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 3 | 08:08 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 3 | 05:32 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 3 | 01:40 | Neutral | Cole Sillinger |
| Jan 26, 2022 | 3 | 00:30 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 26, 2022 | 1 | 04:21 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |