Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Sillinger on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Sillinger wins 44.6% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sillinger 46.6% vs Monahan 54.5% (-8.6%)
H2H factor
Sillinger leads 11-6 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Monahan 88.6%
Defensive zone
Monahan 84.6%
Neutral zone
Monahan 82.3%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 84.7%
15.3%
84.7%
Sillinger
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
6
(17 meetings)
11
6
Sillinger
Monahan
Last 10: Sillinger 9-1 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sillinger
5
0
Sillinger
Monahan
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
3
Sillinger
Monahan
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sillinger
5
3
Sillinger
Monahan
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sillinger
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (834)
57.1% (871)
-9.7%
Power Play
44.3% (61)
53.1% (262)
-8.8%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (77)
44.6% (139)
-8.2%
On even strength, Monahan has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Sillinger is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (652).
Sillinger shoots left. Monahan is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (753).
Home / Away
Sillinger
Monahan
Home
45.9% (488)
55.3% (644)
Away
46.7% (484)
54.5% (628)
By Period
Sillinger
Monahan
P1
45.0%
53.9%
P2
44.5%
55.3%
P3
49.5%
54.4%
OT
45.5%
76.5%
Final 5 min
49.8%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sillinger
44.0%▲
40.5%
46.3%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2024 | 3 | 17:20 | Neutral | Cole Sillinger |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 3 | 15:17 | Defensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 3 | 10:07 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 1 | 11:37 | Neutral | Cole Sillinger |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 1 | 09:17 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 1 | 04:34 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 1 | 04:29 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 1 | 01:26 | Neutral | Cole Sillinger |
| Nov 29, 2023 | 3 | 19:03 | Neutral | Cole Sillinger |
| Nov 29, 2023 | 3 | 17:03 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 29, 2023 | 3 | 03:56 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 29, 2023 | 2 | 00:20 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 29, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 16:20 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 1 | 19:42 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 1 | 19:33 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 1 | 03:28 | Neutral | Cole Sillinger |