Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Sillinger on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Sillinger wins 46.7% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sillinger 45.0% vs Stamkos 53.4% (-9.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 88.3%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 90.7%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 75.9%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 89.8%
10.2%
89.8%
Sillinger
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Sillinger
Stamkos
Last 5: Sillinger 4-1 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sillinger
2
0
Sillinger
Stamkos
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sillinger
2
1
Sillinger
Stamkos
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sillinger
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
44.6% (639)
55.3% (628)
-10.7%
Power Play
54.3% (35)
55.1% (216)
-0.8%
Penalty Kill
18.2% (22)
40.2% (87)
-22.0%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +22.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Sillinger is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (244).
Sillinger shoots left. Stamkos is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (659).
Home / Away
Sillinger
Stamkos
Home
45.5% (365)
55.5% (499)
Away
42.9% (331)
51.9% (432)
By Period
Sillinger
Stamkos
P1
42.5%
50.7%
P2
43.9%
53.8%
P3
46.3%
55.9%
Final 5 min
45.2%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sillinger
44.0%▲
40.5%
44.3%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2023 | 2 | 03:38 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 1 | 13:53 | Defensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 3 | 11:43 | Defensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 2 | 02:43 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Oct 14, 2022 | 3 | 08:35 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |