Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sillinger 46.7% vs Stamkos 49.9% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 77.0%
Defensive zone
Sillinger 73.2%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 51.0%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 64.0%
36.0%
64.0%
Sillinger
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Sillinger
Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
1
Sillinger
Stamkos
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sillinger
1
0
Sillinger
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sillinger
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (535)
49.3% (670)
-2.8%
Power Play
46.7% (30)
53.7% (121)
-7.0%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (85)
33.3% (3)
+10.2%
On penalty kill, Sillinger has a +10.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Sillinger is 48.8% vs right-shot opponents (209).
Sillinger shoots left. Stamkos is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (610).
Home / Away
Sillinger
Stamkos
Home
48.7% (339)
54.0% (400)
Away
43.4% (311)
45.7% (394)
By Period
Sillinger
Stamkos
P1
46.3%
48.6%
P2
47.9%
54.5%
P3
44.0%
45.4%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
49.7%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sillinger
44.0%▲
40.5%
46.2%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2025 | 1 | 14:57 | Neutral | Cole Sillinger |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 2 | 01:38 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |