Scouting Report
Cole Sillinger holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Sillinger wins 42.9% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sillinger 45.0% vs Zegras 42.6% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zegras 62.4%
Defensive zone
Zegras 59.6%
Neutral zone
Zegras 59.1%
Result
Trevor Zegras favored at 60.2%
39.8%
60.2%
Sillinger
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Sillinger
Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zegras
0
1
Sillinger
Zegras
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zegras
0
2
Sillinger
Zegras
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sillinger
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
44.6% (639)
41.1% (559)
+3.5%
Power Play
54.3% (35)
50.0% (12)
+4.3%
Penalty Kill
18.2% (22)
50.0% (2)
-31.8%
On penalty kill, Zegras has a +31.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Sillinger is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (452).
Sillinger shoots left. Zegras is 43.0% vs left-shot opponents (391).
Home / Away
Sillinger
Zegras
Home
45.5% (365)
45.7% (247)
Away
42.9% (331)
38.0% (326)
By Period
Sillinger
Zegras
P1
42.5%
45.5%
P2
43.9%
36.8%
P3
46.3%
41.1%
Final 5 min
45.2%
37.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sillinger
42.0%▬
42.0%
44.3%
Zegras
26.0%▼
35.5%
41.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2023 | 2 | 15:02 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 2 | 05:20 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 1 | 06:05 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |