Scouting Report
Cole Sillinger holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Sillinger on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Sillinger wins 44.9% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sillinger 46.7% vs Zegras 41.3% (+9.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sillinger 61.1%
Defensive zone
Sillinger 87.6%
Neutral zone
Sillinger 75.7%
Result
Cole Sillinger favored at 73.2%
73.2%
26.8%
Sillinger
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Sillinger
Zegras
Last 8: Sillinger 5-3 Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sillinger
2
1
Sillinger
Zegras
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Sillinger
Zegras
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sillinger
2
1
Sillinger
Zegras
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sillinger
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (535)
36.5% (156)
+10.0%
Power Play
46.7% (30)
40.7% (27)
+6.0%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (85)
0.0% (3)
+43.5%
On penalty kill, Sillinger has a +43.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Sillinger is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (441).
Sillinger shoots left. Zegras is 37.7% vs left-shot opponents (138).
Home / Away
Sillinger
Zegras
Home
48.7% (339)
38.9% (113)
Away
43.4% (311)
32.9% (73)
By Period
Sillinger
Zegras
P1
46.3%
40.0%
P2
47.9%
38.1%
P3
44.0%
31.6%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.7%
45.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sillinger
44.0%▲
40.5%
46.2%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
36.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2024 | 3 | 16:57 | Neutral | Cole Sillinger |
| Nov 10, 2024 | 3 | 11:55 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Nov 10, 2024 | 2 | 18:21 | Defensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Nov 10, 2024 | 2 | 18:04 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Nov 10, 2024 | 2 | 09:23 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Nov 10, 2024 | 1 | 17:42 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Nov 10, 2024 | 1 | 10:44 | Defensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Nov 10, 2024 | 1 | 04:37 | Neutral | Cole Sillinger |