Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Benn on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Blackwell wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Benn shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Blackwell 47.7% vs Benn 52.9% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Benn leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Benn 62.2%
Defensive zone
Blackwell 87.5%
Neutral zone
Blackwell 63.8%
Result
Colin Blackwell favored at 64.7%
64.7%
35.3%
Blackwell
Benn
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
8
(13 meetings)
5
8
Blackwell
Benn
Last 10: Blackwell 3-7 Benn
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
1
4
Blackwell
Benn
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Blackwell
Benn
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Blackwell
Benn
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Blackwell
Benn
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (698)
53.5% (6,450)
-4.4%
Power Play
63.2% (38)
52.5% (2,054)
+10.7%
Penalty Kill
40.8% (260)
49.3% (515)
-8.5%
On power play, Blackwell has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Benn shoots left. Blackwell is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (791).
Blackwell shoots right. Benn is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (3,766).
Home / Away
Blackwell
Benn
Home
45.8% (480)
54.9% (4,547)
Away
49.0% (516)
51.0% (4,488)
By Period
Blackwell
Benn
P1
47.1%
51.9%
P2
47.7%
52.6%
P3
47.6%
54.0%
OT
50.0%
62.4%
Final 5 min
52.4%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Blackwell
44.0%▬
44.5%
47.5%
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2024 | 3 | 16:10 | Defensive | Colin Blackwell |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 3 | 05:24 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 2 | 17:17 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 2 | 04:04 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 2 | 11:06 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 3 | 18:32 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 2 | 11:33 | Defensive | Colin Blackwell |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 1 | 14:21 | Defensive | Colin Blackwell |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 1 | 05:58 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 3 | 13:30 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 3 | 13:21 | Neutral | Colin Blackwell |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 2 | 16:57 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 2 | 14:09 | Offensive | Colin Blackwell |