Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +15.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Benn on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Blackwell wins 44.6% vs left-shot opponents — Benn shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Blackwell 48.2% vs Benn 59.9% (-15.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Blackwell 54.5%
Defensive zone
Blackwell 61.7%
Neutral zone
Blackwell 67.2%
Result
Colin Blackwell favored at 57.6%
57.6%
42.4%
Blackwell
Benn
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Blackwell
Benn
Last 7: Blackwell 2-5 Benn
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
0
4
Blackwell
Benn
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Blackwell
2
1
Blackwell
Benn
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Blackwell
Benn
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (52)
62.6% (479)
-12.6%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (18)
58.1% (43)
-24.8%
On penalty kill, Benn has a +24.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Benn shoots left. Blackwell is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (65).
Blackwell shoots right. Benn is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (328).
Home / Away
Blackwell
Benn
Home
41.9% (31)
60.5% (349)
Away
48.7% (39)
62.0% (363)
By Period
Blackwell
Benn
P1
47.1%
60.8%
P2
50.0%
60.1%
P3
41.4%
62.4%
Final 5 min
57.1%
62.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Blackwell
44.0%▲
42.0%
45.7%
Benn
52.0%▼
54.0%
61.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2024 | 3 | 16:10 | Defensive | Colin Blackwell |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 3 | 05:24 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 2 | 17:17 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 2 | 04:04 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 2 | 11:06 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 3 | 18:32 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 2 | 11:33 | Defensive | Colin Blackwell |