Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Benn on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Blackwell wins 46.8% vs left-shot opponents — Benn shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Blackwell 47.8% vs Benn 53.0% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Benn leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Benn 61.5%
Defensive zone
Blackwell 87.8%
Neutral zone
Blackwell 63.7%
Result
Colin Blackwell favored at 65.1%
65.1%
34.9%
Blackwell
Benn
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
8
(13 meetings)
5
8
Blackwell
Benn
Last 10: Blackwell 3-7 Benn
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
1
4
Blackwell
Benn
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Blackwell
Benn
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Blackwell
Benn
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Blackwell
Benn
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (649)
53.5% (6,441)
-4.7%
Power Play
63.2% (38)
52.6% (2,049)
+10.6%
Penalty Kill
41.8% (244)
49.4% (514)
-7.6%
On power play, Blackwell has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Benn shoots left. Blackwell is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (740).
Blackwell shoots right. Benn is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (3,757).
Home / Away
Blackwell
Benn
Home
45.6% (436)
55.0% (4,536)
Away
49.3% (495)
51.0% (4,484)
By Period
Blackwell
Benn
P1
48.0%
51.9%
P2
47.4%
52.6%
P3
47.4%
54.1%
OT
50.0%
62.4%
Final 5 min
52.6%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Blackwell
44.0%▲
42.0%
47.6%
Benn
52.0%▼
54.0%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2024 | 3 | 16:10 | Defensive | Colin Blackwell |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 3 | 05:24 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 2 | 17:17 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 2 | 04:04 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 2 | 11:06 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 3 | 18:32 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 2 | 11:33 | Defensive | Colin Blackwell |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 1 | 14:21 | Defensive | Colin Blackwell |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 1 | 05:58 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 3 | 13:30 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 3 | 13:21 | Neutral | Colin Blackwell |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 2 | 16:57 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 2 | 14:09 | Offensive | Colin Blackwell |