Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Blackwell 49.4% vs Eller 50.3% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Blackwell 71.8%
Defensive zone
Eller 66.8%
Neutral zone
Blackwell 52.0%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 63.7%
36.3%
63.7%
Blackwell
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Blackwell
Eller
Last 6: Blackwell 2-4 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
1
4
Blackwell
Eller
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Blackwell
1
0
Blackwell
Eller
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Blackwell
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
41.5% (41)
49.4% (518)
-7.9%
Power Play
64.7% (17)
57.6% (33)
+7.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (4)
52.8% (108)
-2.8%
On even strength, Eller has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Blackwell is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (37).
Blackwell shoots right. Eller is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (298).
Home / Away
Blackwell
Eller
Home
50.0% (32)
49.0% (304)
Away
46.7% (30)
51.5% (355)
By Period
Blackwell
Eller
P1
63.2%
55.5%
P2
40.9%
44.0%
P3
40.0%
53.2%
OT
100.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
31.3%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Blackwell
44.0%▬
44.5%
48.4%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 5, 2021 | 3 | 02:59 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| May 3, 2021 | 3 | 13:52 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| May 3, 2021 | 2 | 13:10 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 30, 2021 | 1 | 08:33 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 30, 2021 | 1 | 01:20 | Neutral | Colin Blackwell |
| Mar 30, 2021 | 1 | 01:05 | Defensive | Colin Blackwell |