Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Blackwell on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Blackwell wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Blackwell 47.7% vs Eller 50.5% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Blackwell leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Eller 58.9%
Defensive zone
Eller 52.5%
Neutral zone
Eller 56.9%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 55.2%
44.8%
55.2%
Blackwell
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
5
(11 meetings)
6
5
Blackwell
Eller
Last 10: Blackwell 5-5 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Blackwell
4
0
Blackwell
Eller
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
1
5
Blackwell
Eller
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Blackwell
1
0
Blackwell
Eller
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Blackwell
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (698)
51.1% (10,296)
-2.0%
Power Play
63.2% (38)
52.8% (621)
+10.4%
Penalty Kill
40.8% (260)
46.7% (1,751)
-5.9%
On power play, Blackwell has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Blackwell is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (791).
Blackwell shoots right. Eller is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (4,573).
Home / Away
Blackwell
Eller
Home
45.8% (480)
51.4% (6,118)
Away
49.0% (516)
49.7% (6,578)
By Period
Blackwell
Eller
P1
47.1%
51.2%
P2
47.7%
50.1%
P3
47.6%
50.2%
OT
50.0%
56.7%
Final 5 min
52.4%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Blackwell
44.0%▬
44.5%
47.5%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2025 | 2 | 18:11 | Offensive | Colin Blackwell |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 1 | 13:56 | Offensive | Colin Blackwell |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 2 | 12:29 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 2 | 12:28 | Offensive | Colin Blackwell |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 2 | 04:16 | Offensive | Colin Blackwell |
| May 5, 2021 | 3 | 02:59 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| May 3, 2021 | 3 | 13:52 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| May 3, 2021 | 2 | 13:10 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 30, 2021 | 1 | 08:33 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 30, 2021 | 1 | 01:20 | Neutral | Colin Blackwell |
| Mar 30, 2021 | 1 | 01:05 | Defensive | Colin Blackwell |