Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Blackwell wins 44.6% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Blackwell 48.2% vs Eller 52.0% (-6.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Blackwell 60.8%
Defensive zone
Eller 88.0%
Neutral zone
Eller 60.7%
Result
Colin Blackwell favored at 60.8%
60.8%
39.2%
Blackwell
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Blackwell
Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Blackwell
1
0
Blackwell
Eller
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Blackwell
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (52)
52.8% (742)
-2.8%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (18)
46.2% (156)
-12.9%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Blackwell is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (65).
Blackwell shoots right. Eller is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (333).
Home / Away
Blackwell
Eller
Home
41.9% (31)
54.5% (448)
Away
48.7% (39)
50.2% (484)
By Period
Blackwell
Eller
P1
47.1%
52.8%
P2
50.0%
50.9%
P3
41.4%
53.4%
Final 5 min
57.1%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Blackwell
44.0%▬
44.5%
45.7%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2024 | 1 | 13:56 | Offensive | Colin Blackwell |