Scouting Report
Reese Johnson holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Blackwell wins 41.5% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Blackwell 49.4% vs Johnson 50.3% (-1.4%)
Offensive zone
Blackwell 74.4%
Defensive zone
Johnson 71.4%
Neutral zone
Johnson 54.5%
Result
Reese Johnson favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Blackwell
Johnson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Blackwell
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (127)
51.0% (196)
-1.4%
Power Play
76.9% (13)
50.0% (2)
+26.9%
Penalty Kill
34.5% (29)
42.9% (14)
-8.4%
On power play, Blackwell has a +26.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Blackwell is 41.5% vs right-shot opponents (41).
Blackwell shoots right. Johnson is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (70).
Home / Away
Blackwell
Johnson
Home
53.9% (76)
48.8% (125)
Away
45.2% (93)
52.9% (87)
By Period
Blackwell
Johnson
P1
43.4%
54.2%
P2
50.0%
44.2%
P3
53.8%
54.8%
Final 5 min
51.1%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Blackwell
44.0%▬
44.5%
49.1%
Johnson
54.0%▲
51.0%
50.5%