Scouting Report
Reese Johnson holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Blackwell 48.2% vs Johnson 50.8% (-6.2%)
Offensive zone
Blackwell 61.7%
Defensive zone
Johnson 61.6%
Neutral zone
Blackwell 50.9%
Result
Colin Blackwell favored at 50.3%
50.3%
49.7%
Blackwell
Johnson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Blackwell
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (52)
56.9% (51)
-6.9%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (18)
43.3% (30)
-10.0%
On penalty kill, Johnson has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Blackwell is 60.0% vs right-shot opponents (5).
Blackwell shoots right. Johnson is 65.2% vs right-shot opponents (23).
Home / Away
Blackwell
Johnson
Home
41.9% (31)
56.3% (32)
Away
48.7% (39)
49.0% (49)
By Period
Blackwell
Johnson
P1
47.1%
55.6%
P2
50.0%
48.0%
P3
41.4%
51.7%
Final 5 min
57.1%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Blackwell
44.0%▬
44.5%
45.7%
Johnson
54.0%▲
51.0%
51.9%