Scouting Report
Tommy Novak holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Novak on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). White wins 41.7% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
White 45.4% vs Novak 45.6% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
White 51.6%
Defensive zone
White 50.2%
Neutral zone
Novak 54.8%
Result
Tommy Novak favored at 54.1%
45.9%
54.1%
White
Novak
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
White
Novak
Last 7: White 3-4 Novak
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: White
1
0
White
Novak
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Novak
2
4
White
Novak
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
White
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
42.4% (184)
43.8% (384)
-1.4%
Power Play
54.5% (11)
58.8% (17)
-4.3%
On power play, Novak has a +4.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. White is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (139).
White shoots right. Novak is 45.6% vs right-shot opponents (149).
Home / Away
White
Novak
Home
52.3% (86)
46.5% (202)
Away
35.8% (109)
42.5% (200)
By Period
White
Novak
P1
45.6%
49.2%
P2
40.0%
44.2%
P3
43.1%
40.0%
Final 5 min
37.8%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
White
34.0%▼
40.0%
43.1%
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2023 | 3 | 04:40 | Neutral | Tommy Novak |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 3 | 14:14 | Neutral | Colin White |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 3 | 08:58 | Neutral | Tommy Novak |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 3 | 01:53 | Neutral | Tommy Novak |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 2 | 11:54 | Defensive | Colin White |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 1 | 12:56 | Neutral | Colin White |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 1 | 09:43 | Neutral | Tommy Novak |