Scouting Report
Colton Sissons holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for McDavid on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Sissons wins 59.3% vs left-shot opponents — McDavid shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sissons 55.2% vs McDavid 53.4% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Sissons leads 8-6 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
McDavid 69.6%
Defensive zone
Sissons 86.5%
Neutral zone
Sissons 67.2%
Result
Colton Sissons favored at 59.6%
59.6%
40.4%
Sissons
McDavid
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
6
(14 meetings)
8
6
Sissons
McDavid
Last 10: Sissons 5-5 McDavid
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
1
4
Sissons
McDavid
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sissons
3
1
Sissons
McDavid
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sissons
4
1
Sissons
McDavid
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sissons
McDavid
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (923)
54.3% (1,002)
+2.7%
Power Play
56.8% (44)
44.8% (29)
+12.0%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (325)
33.3% (15)
+18.4%
On penalty kill, Sissons has a +18.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McDavid shoots left. Sissons is 59.3% vs left-shot opponents (863).
Sissons shoots right. McDavid is 52.6% vs right-shot opponents (367).
Home / Away
Sissons
McDavid
Home
55.9% (680)
53.6% (507)
Away
55.4% (612)
53.8% (539)
By Period
Sissons
McDavid
P1
54.2%
52.6%
P2
55.0%
54.1%
P3
58.4%
54.9%
OT
25.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
56.5%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sissons
60.0%▬
59.0%
55.7%
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2022 | 3 | 03:29 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 3 | 03:24 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 3 | 03:17 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 2 | 13:22 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 1 | 18:22 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 3 | 19:48 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 3, 2021 | 3 | 15:59 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |
| Nov 3, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 3, 2021 | 2 | 03:37 | Offensive | Colton Sissons |
| Nov 3, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |
| Nov 3, 2021 | 1 | 03:29 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Nov 3, 2021 | 1 | 03:17 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 3, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |