Scouting Report
Colton Sissons holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Sissons wins 55.1% vs left-shot opponents — McDavid shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sissons 54.1% vs McDavid 47.9% (+7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDavid 81.1%
Defensive zone
Sissons 69.6%
Neutral zone
McDavid 58.0%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 56.5%
43.5%
56.5%
Sissons
McDavid
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Sissons
McDavid
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
0
1
Sissons
McDavid
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
0
1
Sissons
McDavid
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sissons
1
0
Sissons
McDavid
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sissons
McDavid
Edge
Even Strength
56.8% (454)
47.7% (715)
+9.1%
Power Play
30.4% (23)
51.9% (52)
-21.5%
Penalty Kill
52.4% (147)
22.2% (9)
+30.2%
On penalty kill, Sissons has a +30.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McDavid shoots left. Sissons is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (497).
Sissons shoots right. McDavid is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (282).
Home / Away
Sissons
McDavid
Home
54.8% (301)
47.3% (387)
Away
54.8% (323)
48.1% (389)
By Period
Sissons
McDavid
P1
53.0%
47.6%
P2
49.3%
50.0%
P3
61.4%
45.0%
Final 5 min
54.1%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sissons
60.0%▬
59.0%
54.8%
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2024 | 3 | 17:50 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 1 | 15:00 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |