Scouting Report
Colton Sissons holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Look for McBain on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Sissons wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — McBain shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sissons 53.2% vs McBain 44.7% (+9.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sissons 59.5%
Defensive zone
Sissons 75.1%
Neutral zone
Sissons 68.8%
Result
Colton Sissons favored at 66.4%
66.4%
33.6%
Sissons
McBain
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Sissons
McBain
Last 9: Sissons 5-4 McBain
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McBain
1
2
Sissons
McBain
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sissons
1
0
Sissons
McBain
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sissons
3
2
Sissons
McBain
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sissons
McBain
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (713)
45.3% (675)
+11.8%
Power Play
52.3% (44)
50.0% (16)
+2.3%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (351)
37.6% (149)
+8.8%
On even strength, Sissons has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McBain shoots left. Sissons is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (767).
Sissons shoots right. McBain is 42.3% vs right-shot opponents (338).
Home / Away
Sissons
McBain
Home
54.8% (569)
45.5% (437)
Away
52.1% (539)
42.4% (403)
By Period
Sissons
McBain
P1
56.1%
43.5%
P2
49.6%
44.0%
P3
54.8%
45.0%
OT
66.7%
33.3%
Final 5 min
53.7%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sissons
60.0%▬
59.0%
53.5%
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
44.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2023 | 3 | 18:00 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 3 | 03:50 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 1 | 15:31 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Feb 26, 2023 | 3 | 18:27 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Feb 26, 2023 | 3 | 06:02 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |
| Feb 13, 2023 | 3 | 09:58 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Feb 13, 2023 | 3 | 09:53 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Feb 13, 2023 | 1 | 07:03 | Offensive | Colton Sissons |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 3 | 09:35 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |