Scouting Report
Colton Sissons holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for McBain on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Sissons wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — McBain shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sissons 55.5% vs McBain 50.9% (+5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McBain 78.2%
Defensive zone
Sissons 66.3%
Neutral zone
McBain 58.6%
Result
Colton Sissons favored at 52.4%
52.4%
47.6%
Sissons
McBain
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Sissons
McBain
Last 5: Sissons 2-3 McBain
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sissons
1
0
Sissons
McBain
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McBain
0
3
Sissons
McBain
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sissons
1
0
Sissons
McBain
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sissons
McBain
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (428)
52.1% (545)
+4.9%
Power Play
58.8% (17)
57.1% (14)
+1.7%
Penalty Kill
54.2% (118)
37.0% (46)
+17.2%
On penalty kill, Sissons has a +17.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McBain shoots left. Sissons is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (394).
Sissons shoots right. McBain is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (256).
Home / Away
Sissons
McBain
Home
52.9% (263)
52.2% (289)
Away
59.7% (300)
50.0% (316)
By Period
Sissons
McBain
P1
56.3%
52.6%
P2
57.8%
53.6%
P3
55.4%
47.1%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.1%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sissons
60.0%▬
59.0%
56.5%
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2025 | 3 | 18:17 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 3 | 18:40 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 3 | 13:25 | Offensive | Colton Sissons |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 1 | 05:38 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 1 | 02:07 | Defensive | Jack McBain |