Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.6% vs 52.2%). Look for Sissons on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sissons 52.4% vs Evans 52.0% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sissons 64.9%
Defensive zone
Evans 56.3%
Neutral zone
Sissons 51.7%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 53.6%
46.4%
53.6%
Sissons
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Sissons
Evans
Last 9: Sissons 5-4 Evans
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Sissons
Evans
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sissons
2
1
Sissons
Evans
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sissons
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (829)
54.4% (807)
+0.2%
Power Play
55.6% (99)
55.0% (20)
+0.6%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (248)
46.1% (310)
-1.7%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Sissons is 52.3% vs right-shot opponents (287).
Sissons shoots right. Evans is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (282).
Home / Away
Sissons
Evans
Home
51.5% (575)
53.7% (581)
Away
53.6% (601)
50.5% (556)
By Period
Sissons
Evans
P1
53.0%
54.6%
P2
52.4%
50.0%
P3
52.0%
52.3%
OT
75.0%
46.7%
Final 5 min
53.9%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sissons
60.0%▬
59.0%
52.6%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2024 | 3 | 16:58 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 3 | 01:28 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 1 | 18:08 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 1 | 15:24 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 1 | 13:00 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 1 | 04:50 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 1 | 01:09 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 2 | 19:58 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 1 | 10:55 | Defensive | Jake Evans |