Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (56.5% vs 56.2%). Sissons wins 62.5% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sissons 55.5% vs Evans 55.4% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sissons 54.6%
Defensive zone
Sissons 52.9%
Neutral zone
Sissons 53.8%
Result
Colton Sissons favored at 54.2%
54.2%
45.8%
Sissons
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Sissons
Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sissons
2
0
Sissons
Evans
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Sissons
Evans
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sissons
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (428)
56.2% (477)
+0.8%
Power Play
58.8% (17)
70.0% (10)
-11.2%
Penalty Kill
54.2% (118)
55.4% (204)
-1.2%
On power play, Evans has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Sissons is 62.5% vs right-shot opponents (168).
Sissons shoots right. Evans is 60.0% vs right-shot opponents (175).
Home / Away
Sissons
Evans
Home
52.9% (263)
55.3% (374)
Away
59.7% (300)
57.1% (317)
By Period
Sissons
Evans
P1
56.3%
58.5%
P2
57.8%
55.7%
P3
55.4%
53.9%
OT
0.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
52.1%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sissons
60.0%▬
59.0%
56.5%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
56.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 03:21 | Offensive | Colton Sissons |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 00:12 | Offensive | Colton Sissons |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |