Scouting Report
Colton Sissons holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Sissons on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Sissons wins 55.1% vs left-shot opponents — Guentzel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sissons 54.1% vs Guentzel 46.9% (+8.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Guentzel 66.7%
Defensive zone
Sissons 90.9%
Neutral zone
Sissons 71.0%
Result
Colton Sissons favored at 67.9%
67.9%
32.1%
Sissons
Guentzel
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Sissons
Guentzel
Last 5: Sissons 3-2 Guentzel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Guentzel
0
2
Sissons
Guentzel
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sissons
3
0
Sissons
Guentzel
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sissons
Guentzel
Edge
Even Strength
56.8% (454)
46.1% (256)
+10.7%
Power Play
30.4% (23)
47.5% (122)
-17.1%
Penalty Kill
52.4% (147)
16.7% (6)
+35.7%
On penalty kill, Sissons has a +35.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Guentzel shoots left. Sissons is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (497).
Sissons shoots right. Guentzel is 43.4% vs right-shot opponents (136).
Home / Away
Sissons
Guentzel
Home
54.8% (301)
49.3% (201)
Away
54.8% (323)
42.6% (183)
By Period
Sissons
Guentzel
P1
53.0%
49.6%
P2
49.3%
45.6%
P3
61.4%
41.6%
OT
60.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
54.1%
44.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sissons
60.0%▬
59.0%
54.8%
Guentzel
44.0%▬
43.5%
46.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2024 | OT | 00:41 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 3 | 03:50 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 3 | 00:19 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 1 | 05:45 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 3 | 05:49 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |