Scouting Report
Colton Sissons holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall. Sissons wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Guentzel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sissons 55.5% vs Guentzel 47.4% (+9.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Guentzel 88.0%
Defensive zone
Sissons 83.4%
Neutral zone
Guentzel 54.6%
Result
Jake Guentzel favored at 64.2%
35.8%
64.2%
Sissons
Guentzel
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Sissons
Guentzel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Guentzel
0
2
Sissons
Guentzel
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sissons
1
0
Sissons
Guentzel
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sissons
Guentzel
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (428)
49.0% (200)
+8.0%
Power Play
58.8% (17)
42.3% (111)
+16.5%
Penalty Kill
54.2% (118)
45.8% (24)
+8.4%
On power play, Sissons has a +16.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Guentzel shoots left. Sissons is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (394).
Sissons shoots right. Guentzel is 47.0% vs right-shot opponents (115).
Home / Away
Sissons
Guentzel
Home
52.9% (263)
48.8% (166)
Away
59.7% (300)
44.4% (169)
By Period
Sissons
Guentzel
P1
56.3%
46.7%
P2
57.8%
48.5%
P3
55.4%
44.3%
OT
0.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
52.1%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sissons
60.0%▬
59.0%
56.5%
Guentzel
44.0%▬
43.5%
46.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 17:31 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 12:38 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 2 | 05:49 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |