Scouting Report
Colton Sissons holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Sissons wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sissons 55.5% vs Duchene 51.6% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 77.0%
Defensive zone
Sissons 82.9%
Neutral zone
Sissons 54.5%
Result
Colton Sissons favored at 53.0%
53.0%
47.0%
Sissons
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Sissons
Duchene
Last 6: Sissons 3-3 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
3
Sissons
Duchene
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sissons
3
0
Sissons
Duchene
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sissons
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (428)
51.2% (324)
+5.8%
Power Play
58.8% (17)
60.4% (53)
-1.6%
Penalty Kill
54.2% (118)
16.7% (6)
+37.5%
On penalty kill, Sissons has a +37.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Sissons is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (394).
Sissons shoots right. Duchene is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (141).
Home / Away
Sissons
Duchene
Home
52.9% (263)
51.6% (182)
Away
59.7% (300)
52.2% (201)
By Period
Sissons
Duchene
P1
56.3%
49.6%
P2
57.8%
56.2%
P3
55.4%
48.6%
OT
0.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
52.1%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sissons
60.0%▬
59.0%
56.5%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 11:41 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 18:13 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 13:20 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 07:59 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 1 | 11:36 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 1 | 09:48 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |