Scouting Report
Colton Sissons holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Sissons on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Sissons wins 55.1% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sissons 54.1% vs Duchene 52.1% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 58.4%
Defensive zone
Sissons 87.4%
Neutral zone
Sissons 71.2%
Result
Colton Sissons favored at 77.3%
77.3%
22.7%
Sissons
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Sissons
Duchene
Last 8: Sissons 5-3 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sissons
2
1
Sissons
Duchene
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sissons
3
2
Sissons
Duchene
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sissons
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
56.8% (454)
53.0% (723)
+3.8%
Power Play
30.4% (23)
49.5% (101)
-19.1%
Penalty Kill
52.4% (147)
43.8% (16)
+8.6%
On power play, Duchene has a +19.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Sissons is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (497).
Sissons shoots right. Duchene is 50.2% vs right-shot opponents (323).
Home / Away
Sissons
Duchene
Home
54.8% (301)
54.9% (408)
Away
54.8% (323)
50.0% (432)
By Period
Sissons
Duchene
P1
53.0%
52.5%
P2
49.3%
51.7%
P3
61.4%
53.6%
OT
60.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
54.1%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sissons
60.0%▬
59.0%
54.8%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2024 | 3 | 01:24 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 1 | 17:20 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 3 | 04:58 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 2 | 18:15 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 1 | 09:02 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 1 | 08:57 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |