Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Sissons on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sissons 52.4% vs Duchene 55.6% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 84.7%
Defensive zone
Sissons 65.4%
Neutral zone
Duchene 70.0%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 60.8%
39.2%
60.8%
Sissons
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Sissons
Duchene
Last 9: Sissons 7-2 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sissons
3
1
Sissons
Duchene
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sissons
3
1
Sissons
Duchene
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sissons
1
0
Sissons
Duchene
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sissons
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (829)
56.5% (566)
-1.9%
Power Play
55.6% (99)
61.3% (62)
-5.7%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (248)
22.2% (9)
+22.2%
On penalty kill, Sissons has a +22.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Sissons is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (889).
Sissons shoots right. Duchene is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (251).
Home / Away
Sissons
Duchene
Home
51.5% (575)
56.6% (318)
Away
53.6% (601)
56.4% (319)
By Period
Sissons
Duchene
P1
53.0%
57.2%
P2
52.4%
55.1%
P3
52.0%
55.6%
OT
75.0%
81.3%
Final 5 min
53.9%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sissons
60.0%▬
59.0%
52.6%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
56.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2024 | 3 | 13:42 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 2 | 16:45 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 2 | 10:41 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 2 | 01:26 | Offensive | Colton Sissons |
| Jan 12, 2024 | 3 | 02:53 | Offensive | Colton Sissons |
| Jan 12, 2024 | 1 | 14:24 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 12, 2024 | 1 | 14:20 | Offensive | Colton Sissons |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 3 | 15:29 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 2 | 01:03 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |