Scouting Report
Colton Sissons holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Sissons wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sissons 54.8% vs Duchene 52.8% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 78.8%
Defensive zone
Sissons 59.5%
Neutral zone
Duchene 64.0%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 62.3%
37.7%
62.3%
Sissons
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Sissons
Duchene
Last 5: Sissons 1-4 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
1
Sissons
Duchene
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
1
Sissons
Duchene
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
1
2
Sissons
Duchene
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sissons
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (590)
52.6% (1,112)
+4.5%
Power Play
62.3% (130)
56.0% (193)
+6.3%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (215)
49.0% (49)
-3.0%
On power play, Sissons has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Sissons is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (650).
Sissons shoots right. Duchene is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (481).
Home / Away
Sissons
Duchene
Home
58.3% (453)
55.7% (652)
Away
52.5% (482)
50.4% (702)
By Period
Sissons
Duchene
P1
55.2%
51.4%
P2
57.9%
53.9%
P3
53.1%
53.3%
OT
46.2%
55.6%
Final 5 min
57.9%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sissons
60.0%▬
59.0%
55.3%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2018 | 2 | 15:44 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 8, 2018 | 2 | 07:20 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 8, 2018 | 1 | 18:05 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 8, 2018 | 1 | 13:00 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |
| Oct 17, 2017 | 2 | 18:27 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |