Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (56.5% vs 55.7%). Sissons wins 62.5% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sissons 55.5% vs Stamkos 54.6% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 76.7%
Defensive zone
Sissons 90.1%
Neutral zone
Sissons 57.3%
Result
Colton Sissons favored at 90.1%
90.1%
9.9%
Sissons
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Sissons
Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sissons
2
0
Sissons
Stamkos
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sissons
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (428)
56.1% (342)
+0.9%
Power Play
58.8% (17)
53.3% (92)
+5.5%
Penalty Kill
54.2% (118)
62.5% (8)
-8.3%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Sissons is 62.5% vs right-shot opponents (168).
Sissons shoots right. Stamkos is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (117).
Home / Away
Sissons
Stamkos
Home
52.9% (263)
53.4% (208)
Away
59.7% (300)
57.7% (234)
By Period
Sissons
Stamkos
P1
56.3%
55.6%
P2
57.8%
52.8%
P3
55.4%
59.1%
OT
0.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
52.1%
56.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sissons
60.0%▬
59.0%
56.5%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2025 | 2 | 03:35 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 1 | 14:16 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |