Scouting Report
Colton Sissons holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sissons 55.2% vs Stamkos 50.9% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 75.5%
Defensive zone
Sissons 80.6%
Neutral zone
Sissons 53.9%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Sissons
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Sissons
Stamkos
Last 8: Sissons 4-4 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
3
Sissons
Stamkos
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sissons
2
0
Sissons
Stamkos
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sissons
2
1
Sissons
Stamkos
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sissons
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (923)
49.3% (789)
+7.7%
Power Play
56.8% (44)
56.9% (181)
-0.1%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (325)
54.1% (98)
-2.4%
On even strength, Sissons has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Sissons is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (429).
Sissons shoots right. Stamkos is 47.0% vs right-shot opponents (270).
Home / Away
Sissons
Stamkos
Home
55.9% (680)
52.0% (512)
Away
55.4% (612)
50.2% (556)
By Period
Sissons
Stamkos
P1
54.2%
42.1%
P2
55.0%
56.4%
P3
58.4%
53.7%
OT
25.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
56.5%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sissons
60.0%▬
59.0%
55.7%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2022 | 2 | 10:56 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Apr 23, 2022 | 2 | 10:42 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 23, 2022 | 1 | 05:11 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 23, 2022 | 1 | 01:14 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 1 | 19:49 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 1 | 15:08 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |