Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.5% vs 53.8%). Look for Stamkos on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sissons 53.2% vs Stamkos 53.4% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 80.0%
Defensive zone
Sissons 80.9%
Neutral zone
Sissons 53.0%
Result
Colton Sissons favored at 50.4%
50.4%
49.6%
Sissons
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Sissons
Stamkos
Last 6: Sissons 3-3 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
3
Sissons
Stamkos
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sissons
3
0
Sissons
Stamkos
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sissons
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (713)
55.3% (628)
+1.8%
Power Play
52.3% (44)
55.1% (216)
-2.8%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (351)
40.2% (87)
+6.2%
On penalty kill, Sissons has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Sissons is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Sissons shoots right. Stamkos is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (272).
Home / Away
Sissons
Stamkos
Home
54.8% (569)
55.5% (499)
Away
52.1% (539)
51.9% (432)
By Period
Sissons
Stamkos
P1
56.1%
50.7%
P2
49.6%
53.8%
P3
54.8%
55.9%
OT
66.7%
87.5%
Final 5 min
53.7%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sissons
60.0%▬
59.0%
53.5%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2022 | 1 | 09:25 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Dec 8, 2022 | 1 | 05:03 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 8, 2022 | 1 | 04:49 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 3 | 17:04 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 3 | 08:17 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 2 | 03:44 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |