Alexander Kerfoot vs Connor Bedard
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Alexander Kerfoot holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Bedard on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 49.5% vs Bedard 46.7% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bedard 77.7%
Defensive zone
Bedard 65.2%
Neutral zone
Bedard 58.3%
Result
Connor Bedard favored at 71.3%
28.7%
71.3%
Kerfoot
Bedard
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Kerfoot
Bedard
Last 5: Kerfoot 1-4 Bedard
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bedard
0
3
Kerfoot
Bedard
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kerfoot
1
0
Kerfoot
Bedard
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bedard
0
1
Kerfoot
Bedard
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Bedard
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (97)
44.2% (450)
+8.4%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
70.0% (30)
+30.0%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (16)
53.8% (13)
-28.8%
On power play, Kerfoot has a +30.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bedard shoots right. Kerfoot is 49.1% vs right-shot opponents (55).
Kerfoot shoots left. Bedard is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (344).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Bedard
Home
39.2% (51)
50.7% (223)
Away
57.1% (63)
42.2% (270)
By Period
Kerfoot
Bedard
P1
51.1%
40.8%
P2
51.6%
48.2%
P3
44.4%
48.0%
Final 5 min
55.0%
45.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
52.0%▼
53.5%
49.1%
Bedard
46.0%▲
42.5%
46.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 13:45 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Mar 9, 2026 | 2 | 16:33 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 3 | 03:33 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 2 | 11:25 | Defensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 2 | 06:08 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |