Alexander Kerfoot vs Connor Bedard
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Alexander Kerfoot holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Kerfoot on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 48.0% vs Bedard 40.7% (+8.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kerfoot 85.3%
Defensive zone
Kerfoot 87.7%
Neutral zone
Kerfoot 87.7%
Result
Alexander Kerfoot favored at 86.6%
86.6%
13.4%
Kerfoot
Bedard
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Kerfoot
Bedard
Last 7: Kerfoot 6-1 Bedard
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kerfoot
3
0
Kerfoot
Bedard
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kerfoot
1
0
Kerfoot
Bedard
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kerfoot
2
1
Kerfoot
Bedard
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Bedard
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (595)
38.9% (512)
+11.5%
Power Play
45.2% (124)
43.8% (16)
+1.4%
Penalty Kill
39.2% (143)
25.0% (4)
+14.2%
On penalty kill, Kerfoot has a +14.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bedard shoots right. Kerfoot is 48.2% vs right-shot opponents (334).
Kerfoot shoots left. Bedard is 39.6% vs left-shot opponents (384).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Bedard
Home
51.4% (467)
40.2% (246)
Away
43.5% (395)
37.8% (286)
By Period
Kerfoot
Bedard
P1
49.1%
39.9%
P2
42.4%
38.5%
P3
52.7%
39.0%
OT
25.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
54.8%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
52.0%▼
53.5%
47.8%
Bedard
46.0%▲
42.5%
38.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2024 | 3 | 06:51 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 2 | 16:39 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 2 | 02:07 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 1 | 19:30 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 1 | 19:26 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 1 | 12:24 | Defensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 1 | 15:55 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |