Scouting Report
Connor Bedard holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Bedard on neutral-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings). Bedard wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Yurov shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bedard 46.7% vs Yurov 40.6% (+6.9%)
H2H factor
Bedard leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Bedard 71.3%
Defensive zone
Bedard 77.4%
Neutral zone
Bedard 68.9%
Result
Connor Bedard favored at 70.9%
70.9%
29.1%
Bedard
Yurov
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
5
(13 meetings)
8
5
Bedard
Yurov
Last 10: Bedard 6-4 Yurov
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Bedard
Yurov
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bedard
2
0
Bedard
Yurov
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bedard
4
3
Bedard
Yurov
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bedard
Yurov
Edge
Even Strength
44.2% (450)
39.6% (621)
+4.6%
Power Play
70.0% (30)
27.8% (18)
+42.2%
Penalty Kill
53.8% (13)
25.0% (8)
+28.8%
On power play, Bedard has a +42.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Yurov shoots left. Bedard is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (344).
Bedard shoots right. Yurov is 38.1% vs right-shot opponents (223).
Home / Away
Bedard
Yurov
Home
50.7% (223)
43.1% (332)
Away
42.2% (270)
34.9% (315)
By Period
Bedard
Yurov
P1
40.8%
37.5%
P2
48.2%
38.1%
P3
48.0%
41.9%
Final 5 min
45.3%
40.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bedard
46.0%▲
42.5%
46.0%
Yurov
44.0%▲
38.5%
39.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 10:01 | Neutral | Danila Yurov |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 3 | 04:20 | Defensive | Connor Bedard |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 2 | 11:03 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 2 | 07:16 | Offensive | Danila Yurov |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 2 | 06:51 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 1 | 09:21 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 1 | 09:10 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 13:40 | Offensive | Danila Yurov |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 10:35 | Neutral | Danila Yurov |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 11:07 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 05:45 | Neutral | Danila Yurov |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 05:41 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 15:18 | Defensive | Connor Bedard |