Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (40.3% vs 39.4%). Bedard wins 40.3% vs left-shot opponents — Yurov shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bedard 40.9% vs Yurov 41.1% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Yurov 52.4%
Defensive zone
Bedard 56.6%
Neutral zone
Bedard 51.9%
Result
Connor Bedard favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
Bedard
Yurov
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Bedard
Yurov
Last 6: Bedard 3-3 Yurov
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Yurov
0
1
Bedard
Yurov
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bedard
1
0
Bedard
Yurov
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Bedard
Yurov
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bedard
Yurov
Edge
Even Strength
39.7% (1,413)
39.7% (491)
+0.0%
Power Play
51.5% (68)
33.3% (15)
+18.2%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (22)
28.6% (7)
+16.9%
On power play, Bedard has a +18.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Yurov shoots left. Bedard is 40.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,103).
Bedard shoots right. Yurov is 36.7% vs right-shot opponents (158).
Home / Away
Bedard
Yurov
Home
42.9% (707)
42.2% (251)
Away
38.1% (796)
36.6% (262)
By Period
Bedard
Yurov
P1
38.3%
35.8%
P2
39.8%
37.3%
P3
43.1%
45.2%
Final 5 min
45.4%
39.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bedard
32.0%▼
47.5%
40.3%
Yurov
36.0%▬
37.0%
39.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 13:40 | Offensive | Danila Yurov |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 10:35 | Neutral | Danila Yurov |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 11:07 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 05:45 | Neutral | Danila Yurov |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 05:41 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 15:18 | Defensive | Connor Bedard |