Scouting Report
Connor Bedard holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Bedard on neutral-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings). Bedard wins 40.8% vs left-shot opponents — Yurov shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bedard 41.3% vs Yurov 40.6% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Bedard leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Bedard 51.9%
Defensive zone
Bedard 59.6%
Neutral zone
Bedard 52.8%
Result
Connor Bedard favored at 53.6%
53.6%
46.4%
Bedard
Yurov
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
5
(13 meetings)
8
5
Bedard
Yurov
Last 10: Bedard 6-4 Yurov
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Bedard
Yurov
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bedard
2
0
Bedard
Yurov
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bedard
4
3
Bedard
Yurov
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bedard
Yurov
Edge
Even Strength
40.1% (1,580)
39.6% (621)
+0.5%
Power Play
51.9% (77)
27.8% (18)
+24.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (24)
25.0% (8)
+25.0%
On penalty kill, Bedard has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Yurov shoots left. Bedard is 40.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,213).
Bedard shoots right. Yurov is 38.1% vs right-shot opponents (223).
Home / Away
Bedard
Yurov
Home
43.3% (785)
43.1% (332)
Away
38.5% (896)
34.9% (315)
By Period
Bedard
Yurov
P1
39.0%
37.5%
P2
40.7%
38.1%
P3
42.6%
41.9%
Final 5 min
44.9%
40.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bedard
46.0%▲
42.5%
40.7%
Yurov
44.0%▲
38.5%
39.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 10:01 | Neutral | Danila Yurov |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 3 | 04:20 | Defensive | Connor Bedard |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 2 | 11:03 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 2 | 07:16 | Offensive | Danila Yurov |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 2 | 06:51 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 1 | 09:21 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 1 | 09:10 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 13:40 | Offensive | Danila Yurov |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 10:35 | Neutral | Danila Yurov |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 11:07 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 05:45 | Neutral | Danila Yurov |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 05:41 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 15:18 | Defensive | Connor Bedard |