Scouting Report
Evgeni Malkin holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Bedard wins 37.9% vs left-shot opponents — Malkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bedard 39.8% vs Malkin 46.4% (-7.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 71.4%
Defensive zone
Bedard 72.7%
Neutral zone
Malkin 52.4%
Result
Connor Bedard favored at 72.7%
72.7%
27.3%
Bedard
Malkin
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Bedard
Malkin
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Bedard
Malkin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bedard
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
38.0% (618)
45.5% (602)
-7.5%
Power Play
38.7% (31)
50.0% (30)
-11.3%
Penalty Kill
57.1% (7)
100.0% (1)
-42.9%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +42.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. Bedard is 37.9% vs left-shot opponents (485).
Bedard shoots right. Malkin is 40.1% vs right-shot opponents (202).
Home / Away
Bedard
Malkin
Home
40.5% (316)
47.5% (326)
Away
36.2% (340)
44.0% (307)
By Period
Bedard
Malkin
P1
37.2%
49.3%
P2
36.9%
44.7%
P3
40.7%
42.3%
OT
50.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
43.4%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bedard
32.0%▼
47.5%
38.3%
Malkin
48.0%▬
47.0%
45.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2025 | 3 | 13:40 | Defensive | Connor Bedard |