Scouting Report
Connor Bedard holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Bedard wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Malkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bedard 46.7% vs Malkin 46.1% (+1.5%)
Offensive zone
Malkin 63.6%
Defensive zone
Bedard 69.8%
Neutral zone
Bedard 51.4%
Result
Connor Bedard favored at 52.5%
52.5%
47.5%
Bedard
Malkin
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bedard
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
44.2% (450)
45.7% (219)
-1.5%
Power Play
70.0% (30)
34.6% (26)
+35.4%
On power play, Bedard has a +35.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. Bedard is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (344).
Bedard shoots right. Malkin is 42.6% vs right-shot opponents (68).
Home / Away
Bedard
Malkin
Home
50.7% (223)
50.4% (113)
Away
42.2% (270)
39.4% (132)
By Period
Bedard
Malkin
P1
40.8%
47.7%
P2
48.2%
44.9%
P3
48.0%
40.0%
OT
57.1%
100.0%
Final 5 min
45.3%
35.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bedard
46.0%▲
42.5%
46.0%
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
44.5%