Scouting Report
Jack McBain holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Bedard wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — McBain shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bedard 47.7% vs McBain 50.9% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McBain 58.2%
Defensive zone
McBain 58.5%
Neutral zone
McBain 65.9%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 63.3%
36.7%
63.3%
Bedard
McBain
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Bedard
McBain
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bedard
1
0
Bedard
McBain
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Bedard
McBain
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bedard
McBain
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (283)
52.6% (504)
-7.7%
Power Play
76.2% (21)
50.0% (12)
+26.2%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (11)
33.3% (42)
+12.2%
On power play, Bedard has a +26.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McBain shoots left. Bedard is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (234).
Bedard shoots right. McBain is 47.3% vs right-shot opponents (245).
Home / Away
Bedard
McBain
Home
52.4% (145)
51.8% (251)
Away
42.4% (170)
50.5% (307)
By Period
Bedard
McBain
P1
37.9%
50.9%
P2
48.6%
53.9%
P3
53.2%
48.1%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
47.2%
54.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bedard
32.0%▼
47.5%
47.0%
McBain
52.0%▲
49.5%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 01:02 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 1 | 15:33 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 1 | 15:25 | Neutral | Jack McBain |