Scouting Report
Jack McBain holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for McBain on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Bedard wins 39.6% vs left-shot opponents — McBain shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bedard 40.7% vs McBain 45.9% (-6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bedard 72.2%
Defensive zone
Bedard 70.8%
Neutral zone
Bedard 70.3%
Result
Connor Bedard favored at 70.8%
70.8%
29.2%
Bedard
McBain
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Bedard
McBain
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: McBain
0
3
Bedard
McBain
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bedard
McBain
Edge
Even Strength
38.9% (512)
46.3% (568)
-7.4%
Power Play
43.8% (16)
37.5% (8)
+6.3%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
37.8% (74)
-12.8%
On penalty kill, McBain has a +12.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McBain shoots left. Bedard is 39.6% vs left-shot opponents (384).
Bedard shoots right. McBain is 44.5% vs right-shot opponents (209).
Home / Away
Bedard
McBain
Home
40.2% (246)
50.6% (330)
Away
37.8% (286)
39.7% (320)
By Period
Bedard
McBain
P1
39.9%
45.4%
P2
38.5%
44.5%
P3
39.0%
45.7%
Final 5 min
46.7%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bedard
46.0%▲
42.5%
38.9%
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2024 | 3 | 12:44 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Mar 10, 2024 | 2 | 14:35 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 1 | 06:16 | Defensive | Jack McBain |