Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +12.5% FO% edge overall. Bedard wins 37.2% vs right-shot opponents — Stenlund shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bedard 40.7% vs Stenlund 51.2% (-12.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stenlund 54.0%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 87.1%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 76.0%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 54.0%
46.0%
54.0%
Bedard
Stenlund
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Bedard
Stenlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bedard
1
0
Bedard
Stenlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bedard
Stenlund
Edge
Even Strength
38.9% (512)
54.4% (592)
-15.5%
Power Play
43.8% (16)
42.9% (14)
+0.9%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
44.1% (229)
-19.1%
On penalty kill, Stenlund has a +19.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stenlund shoots right. Bedard is 37.2% vs right-shot opponents (148).
Bedard shoots right. Stenlund is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (191).
Home / Away
Bedard
Stenlund
Home
40.2% (246)
50.7% (402)
Away
37.8% (286)
52.0% (433)
By Period
Bedard
Stenlund
P1
39.9%
56.5%
P2
38.5%
52.4%
P3
39.0%
45.2%
OT
25.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
46.7%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bedard
46.0%▲
42.5%
38.9%
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2023 | 1 | 01:06 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |