Connor Bedard vs Kevin Stenlund
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +13.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Stenlund on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Bedard wins 40.6% vs right-shot opponents — Stenlund shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bedard 41.3% vs Stenlund 54.0% (-13.4%)
H2H factor
Stenlund leads 7-7 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Bedard 72.8%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 77.1%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 57.0%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 58.5%
41.5%
58.5%
Bedard
Stenlund
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
7
(14 meetings)
7
7
Bedard
Stenlund
Last 10: Bedard 4-6 Stenlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bedard
4
0
Bedard
Stenlund
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
1
6
Bedard
Stenlund
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bedard
2
1
Bedard
Stenlund
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bedard
Stenlund
Edge
Even Strength
40.1% (1,580)
55.3% (2,703)
-15.2%
Power Play
51.9% (77)
52.6% (116)
-0.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (24)
50.6% (919)
-0.6%
On even strength, Stenlund has a +15.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stenlund shoots right. Bedard is 40.6% vs right-shot opponents (468).
Bedard shoots right. Stenlund is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (931).
Home / Away
Bedard
Stenlund
Home
43.3% (785)
54.3% (1,848)
Away
38.5% (896)
53.9% (1,890)
By Period
Bedard
Stenlund
P1
39.0%
56.4%
P2
40.7%
53.3%
P3
42.6%
52.8%
OT
42.9%
52.9%
Final 5 min
44.9%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bedard
46.0%▲
42.5%
40.7%
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 17:40 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 06:00 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 05:04 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 9, 2026 | 3 | 13:32 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 9, 2026 | 1 | 19:50 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 2 | 09:08 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 19:44 | Defensive | Connor Bedard |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 2 | 07:14 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Mar 7, 2025 | 2 | 17:36 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |
| Mar 7, 2025 | 1 | 08:54 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 1 | 17:22 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 8, 2024 | 2 | 02:32 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |
| Oct 8, 2024 | 2 | 02:26 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 1 | 01:06 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |