Scouting Report
Roope Hintz holds a +13.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Hintz on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Bedard wins 40.8% vs left-shot opponents — Hintz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bedard 41.3% vs Hintz 53.8% (-13.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bedard 83.1%
Defensive zone
Bedard 86.5%
Neutral zone
Bedard 88.7%
Result
Connor Bedard favored at 85.8%
85.8%
14.2%
Bedard
Hintz
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
Bedard
Hintz
Last 8: Bedard 1-7 Hintz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hintz
0
3
Bedard
Hintz
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hintz
1
2
Bedard
Hintz
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hintz
0
2
Bedard
Hintz
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bedard
Hintz
Edge
Even Strength
40.1% (1,580)
53.8% (3,722)
-13.7%
Power Play
51.9% (77)
55.4% (567)
-3.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (24)
52.9% (221)
-2.9%
On even strength, Hintz has a +13.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hintz shoots left. Bedard is 40.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,213).
Bedard shoots right. Hintz is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,728).
Home / Away
Bedard
Hintz
Home
43.3% (785)
54.9% (2,317)
Away
38.5% (896)
52.9% (2,193)
By Period
Bedard
Hintz
P1
39.0%
55.5%
P2
40.7%
53.9%
P3
42.6%
52.7%
OT
42.9%
49.3%
Final 5 min
44.9%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bedard
46.0%▲
42.5%
40.7%
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2024 | 2 | 07:30 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 2 | 05:09 | Defensive | Connor Bedard |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 2 | 00:33 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 3 | 00:06 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 2 | 09:03 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 2 | 04:53 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 1 | 05:24 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |