Scouting Report
Roope Hintz holds a +17.3% FO% edge overall. Bedard wins 39.6% vs left-shot opponents — Hintz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bedard 40.7% vs Hintz 55.3% (-17.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bedard 86.7%
Defensive zone
Bedard 82.3%
Neutral zone
Bedard 88.3%
Result
Connor Bedard favored at 86.4%
86.4%
13.6%
Bedard
Hintz
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Bedard
Hintz
Last 5: Bedard 0-5 Hintz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hintz
0
2
Bedard
Hintz
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hintz
0
1
Bedard
Hintz
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hintz
0
2
Bedard
Hintz
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bedard
Hintz
Edge
Even Strength
38.9% (512)
56.3% (512)
-17.4%
Power Play
43.8% (16)
63.3% (30)
-19.5%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
45.8% (24)
-20.8%
On penalty kill, Hintz has a +20.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hintz shoots left. Bedard is 39.6% vs left-shot opponents (384).
Bedard shoots right. Hintz is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (236).
Home / Away
Bedard
Hintz
Home
40.2% (246)
57.3% (262)
Away
37.8% (286)
55.3% (304)
By Period
Bedard
Hintz
P1
39.9%
54.8%
P2
38.5%
56.0%
P3
39.0%
57.5%
OT
25.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
46.7%
59.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bedard
46.0%▲
42.5%
38.9%
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
56.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2023 | 3 | 00:06 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 2 | 09:03 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 2 | 04:53 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 1 | 05:24 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |