Scouting Report
Roope Hintz holds a +15.6% FO% edge overall. Bedard wins 37.9% vs left-shot opponents — Hintz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bedard 39.8% vs Hintz 53.5% (-15.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hintz 55.5%
Defensive zone
Bedard 56.9%
Neutral zone
Bedard 56.1%
Result
Connor Bedard favored at 52.8%
52.8%
47.2%
Bedard
Hintz
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Bedard
Hintz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hintz
0
1
Bedard
Hintz
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Bedard
Hintz
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bedard
Hintz
Edge
Even Strength
38.0% (618)
53.6% (711)
-15.6%
Power Play
38.7% (31)
53.8% (93)
-15.1%
Penalty Kill
57.1% (7)
58.7% (46)
-1.6%
On even strength, Hintz has a +15.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hintz shoots left. Bedard is 37.9% vs left-shot opponents (485).
Bedard shoots right. Hintz is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (332).
Home / Away
Bedard
Hintz
Home
40.5% (316)
52.6% (460)
Away
36.2% (340)
55.4% (390)
By Period
Bedard
Hintz
P1
37.2%
59.0%
P2
36.9%
52.7%
P3
40.7%
51.1%
OT
50.0%
20.0%
Final 5 min
43.4%
59.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bedard
46.0%▲
42.5%
38.3%
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2024 | 2 | 07:30 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 2 | 05:09 | Defensive | Connor Bedard |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 2 | 00:33 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |