Scouting Report
Ryan Hartman holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Bedard wins 37.2% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bedard 40.7% vs Hartman 47.3% (-8.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bedard 66.5%
Defensive zone
Bedard 68.0%
Neutral zone
Bedard 68.3%
Result
Connor Bedard favored at 68.3%
68.3%
31.7%
Bedard
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Bedard
Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
2
Bedard
Hartman
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bedard
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
38.9% (512)
47.1% (649)
-8.2%
Power Play
43.8% (16)
47.1% (68)
-3.3%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
45.2% (73)
-20.2%
On penalty kill, Hartman has a +20.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Bedard is 37.2% vs right-shot opponents (148).
Bedard shoots right. Hartman is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (182).
Home / Away
Bedard
Hartman
Home
40.2% (246)
46.5% (361)
Away
37.8% (286)
47.3% (429)
By Period
Bedard
Hartman
P1
39.9%
45.1%
P2
38.5%
44.4%
P3
39.0%
50.9%
OT
25.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
46.7%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bedard
46.0%▲
42.5%
38.9%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2023 | 1 | 12:27 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Dec 3, 2023 | 1 | 08:31 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |