Scouting Report
Connor Bedard holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Bedard on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Bedard wins 45.6% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bedard 46.7% vs Hartman 45.5% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bedard 51.9%
Defensive zone
Bedard 50.6%
Neutral zone
Hartman 59.0%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 52.1%
47.9%
52.1%
Bedard
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Bedard
Hartman
Last 9: Bedard 7-2 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bedard
3
0
Bedard
Hartman
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bedard
3
0
Bedard
Hartman
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hartman
1
2
Bedard
Hartman
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bedard
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
44.2% (450)
44.8% (830)
-0.6%
Power Play
70.0% (30)
47.8% (92)
+22.2%
Penalty Kill
53.8% (13)
37.5% (16)
+16.3%
On power play, Bedard has a +22.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Bedard is 45.6% vs right-shot opponents (149).
Bedard shoots right. Hartman is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (284).
Home / Away
Bedard
Hartman
Home
50.7% (223)
45.0% (515)
Away
42.2% (270)
44.9% (423)
By Period
Bedard
Hartman
P1
40.8%
46.5%
P2
48.2%
39.9%
P3
48.0%
48.6%
OT
57.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.3%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bedard
46.0%▲
42.5%
46.0%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | 3 | 19:21 | Defensive | Connor Bedard |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 3 | 18:28 | Defensive | Connor Bedard |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 17:25 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |
| Mar 17, 2026 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 3 | 07:49 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 3 | 01:14 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 2 | 04:21 | Defensive | Connor Bedard |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 1 | 10:47 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 1 | 06:17 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |