Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Bedard on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Bedard wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bedard 46.7% vs McLeod 47.8% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McLeod 55.6%
Defensive zone
McLeod 79.8%
Neutral zone
McLeod 69.5%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 58.3%
41.7%
58.3%
Bedard
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Bedard
McLeod
Last 5: Bedard 5-0 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bedard
4
0
Bedard
McLeod
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bedard
1
0
Bedard
McLeod
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bedard
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
44.2% (450)
49.2% (796)
-5.0%
Power Play
70.0% (30)
44.8% (87)
+25.2%
Penalty Kill
53.8% (13)
43.3% (263)
+10.5%
On power play, Bedard has a +25.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Bedard is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (344).
Bedard shoots right. McLeod is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (398).
Home / Away
Bedard
McLeod
Home
50.7% (223)
49.2% (575)
Away
42.2% (270)
45.9% (571)
By Period
Bedard
McLeod
P1
40.8%
52.8%
P2
48.2%
45.1%
P3
48.0%
45.6%
OT
57.1%
35.7%
Final 5 min
45.3%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bedard
46.0%▲
42.5%
46.0%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2025 | 3 | 17:08 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |
| Nov 21, 2025 | 3 | 13:33 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |
| Nov 21, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Nov 21, 2025 | 2 | 19:20 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |
| Nov 21, 2025 | 2 | 19:05 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |