Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +14.0% FO% edge overall. Bedard wins 37.9% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bedard 39.8% vs McLeod 52.1% (-14.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bedard 58.5%
Defensive zone
McLeod 57.5%
Neutral zone
Bedard 54.1%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 53.6%
46.4%
53.6%
Bedard
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Bedard
McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Bedard
McLeod
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
1
Bedard
McLeod
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bedard
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
38.0% (618)
52.9% (904)
-14.9%
Power Play
38.7% (31)
57.6% (59)
-18.9%
Penalty Kill
57.1% (7)
49.0% (241)
+8.1%
On power play, McLeod has a +18.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Bedard is 37.9% vs left-shot opponents (485).
Bedard shoots right. McLeod is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (420).
Home / Away
Bedard
McLeod
Home
40.5% (316)
51.8% (612)
Away
36.2% (340)
52.9% (592)
By Period
Bedard
McLeod
P1
37.2%
55.4%
P2
36.9%
50.8%
P3
40.7%
51.6%
OT
50.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
43.4%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bedard
46.0%▲
42.5%
38.3%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2024 | 3 | 19:21 | Defensive | Connor Bedard |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 19:05 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 1 | 11:31 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |