Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Bedard wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bedard 46.7% vs Aho 50.0% (-4.0%)
Offensive zone
Aho 57.2%
Defensive zone
Bedard 70.5%
Neutral zone
Aho 52.6%
Result
Connor Bedard favored at 53.6%
53.6%
46.4%
Bedard
Aho
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bedard
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
44.2% (450)
49.9% (851)
-5.7%
Power Play
70.0% (30)
53.5% (144)
+16.5%
Penalty Kill
53.8% (13)
43.3% (60)
+10.5%
On power play, Bedard has a +16.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Bedard is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (344).
Bedard shoots right. Aho is 55.5% vs right-shot opponents (364).
Home / Away
Bedard
Aho
Home
50.7% (223)
53.2% (554)
Away
42.2% (270)
46.5% (501)
By Period
Bedard
Aho
P1
40.8%
49.1%
P2
48.2%
50.8%
P3
48.0%
49.7%
OT
57.1%
58.8%
Final 5 min
45.3%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bedard
46.0%▲
42.5%
46.0%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
50.0%