Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +12.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on defensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Bedard wins 40.8% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bedard 41.3% vs Crosby 53.5% (-12.8%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 19-4 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Bedard 92.5%
Defensive zone
Bedard 95.0%
Neutral zone
Bedard 97.2%
Result
Connor Bedard favored at 95.6%
95.6%
4.4%
Bedard
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
19
(23 meetings)
4
19
Bedard
Crosby
Last 10: Bedard 1-9 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
4
Bedard
Crosby
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
7
Bedard
Crosby
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
3
8
Bedard
Crosby
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bedard
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
40.1% (1,580)
52.8% (17,990)
-12.7%
Power Play
51.9% (77)
57.4% (4,733)
-5.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (24)
47.1% (765)
+2.9%
On even strength, Crosby has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Bedard is 40.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,213).
Bedard shoots right. Crosby is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (8,656).
Home / Away
Bedard
Crosby
Home
43.3% (785)
55.0% (11,972)
Away
38.5% (896)
52.0% (11,535)
By Period
Bedard
Crosby
P1
39.0%
53.6%
P2
40.7%
53.9%
P3
42.6%
53.3%
OT
42.9%
49.6%
Final 5 min
44.9%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bedard
46.0%▲
42.5%
40.7%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2025 | 3 | 13:11 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 3 | 06:29 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 3 | 03:58 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 2 | 09:20 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 1 | 08:57 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 3 | 13:44 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 10, 2023 | 3 | 17:25 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 10, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Oct 10, 2023 | 2 | 11:16 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 10, 2023 | 2 | 09:23 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 10, 2023 | 2 | 00:11 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 10, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 10, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |